Filipinos in South Korea

PROUD Filipinos ousted US soldiers in the Philippines – No say about China Invasion

China challenged the Philippines after ousting the US forces in the Philippines. worldcrunch.com

FOCUS: New challenges face Philippines 20 years after U.S. pullout

Filipinos Led in ousting American forces in the Philippines still stand with PRIDE

SUBIC BAY, Philippines, Nov. 26 -- (Kyodo) _ When the last batch of American troops left this former U.S. naval base on Nov. 24, 1992, marking the complete closure of U.S. military bases in the Philippines, many Filipinos rejoiced over what they regarded as the triumph of patriotism and genuine independence, never mind apprehensions over the projected negative impact on the economy and security.

"It was a resounding victory for our people's long struggle against foreign military forces on our land which had undermined our foreign and security policy, and kept us hostage and made us a launching pad for so long to U.S. interventionist wars in Asia and other parts of the world," University of the Philippines professor Roland Simbulan said at a recent gathering here in the Subic Bay Freeport Zone.

"Filipino patriots consider that day historically significant because it marked the end of 470 years of foreign military bases and foreign troop presence on Philippine soil, which began during the Spanish colonization and extended almost permanently during the American colonial period and beyond Philippine independence in 1946," he added.

The pullout of American soldiers also cured at a certain level the social problem of prostitution, restored the self-confidence and pride of the local people, who, for the longest time, felt they were being treated as second-class citizens in their own land, and encouraged a major cultural transformation in the immediate community, local college professor Edgar Geniza said in a separate interview.

"It was good for the Philippines and for the people of Olongapo (which is directly outside the U.S. naval base). If there was no base pullout, I wouldn't have taken the civil engineering licensure exam and my master's degree. I would have only been satisfied working as a technical person," shared Marco Estabillo, a former apprentice in the U.S. Navy who is now among the senior managers of the Subic Bay Metropolitan Authority, the agency governing the zone.

Environmentalists and labor activists also hailed the shutdown of the bases as it ended the country's suffering from alleged toxic waste disposal and exposure to unhealthy working environments, specifically sites with asbestos.

And as the years went on, Simbulan said the conversion of Clark Air Field in Pampanga province and Subic Naval Base into economic centers disproved the "doomsday scenario" for the country's economy painted by some U.S. officials and pro-American Filipinos.

New printed China Passport includes the Territory of the Philippines, Vietnam, Brunei, Taiwan, Malaysia, Indonesia and India

Mouth Bubbles of Filipinos – Ousted American Forces in the Philippines

"Subic is very successful. It's a showcase," SBMA chairman Roberto Garcia declared in a recent Kyodo News interview.

"In the past 20 years, we have been able to attract $8 billion in accumulated investments. And this has provided all of these 92,000 accumulated jobs. It provides a very big economy for the Philippines," he added.

But recent developments both within the Subic Bay Freeport Zone and the country's lingering territorial disputes, particularly with China, have posed new challenges for SBMA.

Internally, SBMA is not really making money, incurring in fact a cumulative loss of 7 billion pesos (about $170.73 million) because of foreign loan obligations and underutilized facilities.

The Subic Bay International Airport, which was constructed by the Americans in the 1950s, has been idle for the last few years after package delivery company FedEx Corp. moved its operations to China, while only 4 percent of Subic's seaport capacity is currently being utilized, owing to alleged monopolization of port operations in the capital Manila.

"SBMA is going down. It's very difficult for SBMA to stand without having to ask for financial assistance from the national government at this point," said Leonardo Mesiano, a former SBMA official and currently an investors' coordinator.

Mesiano disclosed that the Subic Bay Freeport Zone, which has a land area of 67,452 hectares, also has no more space to sell to potential business locators.

Some of the present locators are also complaining about additional collections, inconsistent administrative procedures, and an unfriendly policing attitude by SBMA, all of which, Mesiano said, could drive investors away.

Mesiano urged the SBMA leadership to improve its services, speed up its efforts to expand the zone's territory to accommodate new investors, work with the national government to transfer some shipping companies from the ports of Manila to Subic, and allow the U.S. military to use the idle Subic airport for a fee as he projects it would stimulate further economic activity, aside from the security assistance it could provide the Philippines.

Acknowledging the challenges, Garcia said a five-year strategic plan had been designed to reutilize the airport, initially bring up the seaports' utilization rate to 20 percent, and boost further the already booming tourism activity in Subic.

"The vision is to make this the premier Freeport in Asia because of our location as the center of Asia, our cost-advantage, and the natural infrastructure left by the Americans," Garcia said, citing plans of developing the maritime business, particularly shipbuilding and repair, following the "successful example of Hanjin Heavy Industries" of South Korea in Subic.

For the airport, Garcia said he initially proposed its conversion into a large amusement theme park like Singapore's Sentosa to be able to draw in at least 5 million tourists. It was also projected to bring in $5 billion in investments and provide at least 50,000 jobs.

But it was shelved because of the Defense Department's intention to let the Philippine Air Force use the airport amidst the country's lingering territorial dispute with China over resource-rich areas in the South China Sea.

On Friday, Defense Secretary Voltaire Gazmin told Kyodo News that "the SBMA is supportive of the Armed Forces of the Philippines' plan to move into Subic."

Garcia said earlier, however, that he expects the national government to compensate SBMA for usage of the airport.

Aware of the territorial disputes and the U.S. military's pivot to the Asia-Pacific region, Garcia acknowledges that Subic "definitely" will have an important role to play, especially because of its close location to the disputed Scarborough Shoal where a tense standoff between Philippine and Chinese vessels took place early this year.

He cites the already increasing number of visits of U.S. military vessels in Subic.

"The Philippines was never preoccupied with defending its borders. But now, because of the China issue, the Philippines is now forced (to boost its territorial defense). Since we don't have the capability, it's the U.S. that will provide that protection, even just by mere presence," Garcia said.

According to SBMA records, 56 U.S. Navy vessels and submarines visited Subic Bay from January to September this year, higher than the 55 for the entire 2011 and 51 in 2010. And these figures are significantly higher compared to 15 in 2004 and 18 in 2005.

Garcia said that "as long as it's done on a temporary basis and within the framework of the Visiting Forces Agreement," he welcomes port calls and visits by U.S. military ships because of their economic impact on Subic, citing for example the estimated $4 million spent by visiting U.S. troops during 10 days last October.

But Simbulan wants the government to stop clinging to the United States and further diversify its security ties with other countries, including even China, which, he said, is already an economic superpower.

"For our national interest, it is better to engage China more in a diplomatic way rather than be confrontational," he told Kyodo News.

"The problem really here is strengthening our defense capabilities. Our Navy is very weak, as is our Air Force, and this is the result of too much dependency on the U.S.," he added.

For him, it is best for the Philippines to look at its long-term economic ties with China and simultaneously develop the country's defense capability, as it also resolves the problem diplomatically with the help of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.

"Why go back to the past if we have proven in the past 20 years that there is life after the bases?" Simbulan said.

But with the present realities about China's aggressive assertion of its claims in the South China Sea and the existence of the Philippine-U.S. Mutual Defense Treaty and Visiting Forces Agreement, Simbulan's prayer might be too remote from the policy that the government is taking.

Perhaps total independence from the United States can start if a recent congressional resolution that stemmed from alleged dumping of hazardous waste from a U.S. Navy ship in waters off Subic last October leads to termination, at first, of the Visiting Forces Agreement.

After the US Forces ousted in Manila in September 1991, Subic economy collapsed, Hundred thousand jobs lost, China invaded Mischief reef in Palawan province and Scarborough shoal of the Philippines.  Proud Filipinos who led the successful kick-out of the American forces in the Philippines – No say about China's invasion but just to be proud.

With report from Kyodo News International. (http://is.gd/ZnNsAO

JP Morgan: Philippines is one of top markets in 2013

JP Morgan Picked - the Philippines as the top - most favored market for 2013. Photo: NYtimes

Global investment bank JP Morgan has picked the Philippines as one of its three most-favored stock markets for 2013, marking the fourth straight year that the local bourse is expected to outperform most of its regional peers.

"We are still very bullish for 2013," JP Morgan Securities Philippines Inc. executive director and head of equity research Gilbert Lopez said in a press briefing yesterday. The two other Asian markets seen by JP Morgan as top market picks for next year are Thailand and India, citing favorable demographics as a common denominator with the Philippines.

At the beginning of 2012, JP Morgan's emerging market and Asian equity strategist Arian Mowat also cited the Philippines as among its most favored markets along with Thailand and Indonesia. This year, he said the Philippines was still on Mowat's favored list.

Lopez said JP Morgan had an "overweight" rating on Philippine equities for the last four years. An "overweight" rating refers to a recommendation to buy in excess of the prescribed weight in a closely followed index like MSCI Asia ex-Japan, which JP Morgan expects to rise by 15 percent next year.

Local Indices

JP Morgan does not target local indices like the Philippine Stock Exchange index but Lopez said that based on its price targets on monitored stocks, the PSEi might have room to rise by another 20-25 percent from current levels. The company covers 30 Philippine stocks, at least 27 of which are part of the PSEi.

"The reason we like the Philippines is that in a global context, earnings environment is still good," Lopez said, adding that JP Morgan was expecting average earnings per share in this market to grow at a faster pace of 17 percent next year from about 12 percent this year.

The stronger corporate earnings growth for 2013, he said, would be on the back of increased investments and improving consumption. In terms of sectors, he said JP Morgan was overweight on conglomerates, consumer, banks and real estate. But because merger and acquisition excitement had boosted banking stocks recently, he said JP Morgan might now only be "neutral to slightly overweight" on Philippine banks.

The only sectors that are not likely to perform as well as the others are telecoms and utilities. He said 2013 would continue to be a tough year for telecoms, but noted this would be more of a "micro" or "sectoral" issue while utilities, with a few exceptions, were not likely to offer exciting growth prospects like their counterparts in other countries.

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How the Philippines Managed to Stand up against the China threat?

Global Filipino pushed the Philippines to stand up against the bullying china. Photo: indybay.org

How Manila Stands Up to the Goliath

Philippines is increasingly emerging as a 'frontline state' in the ongoing Sino-American competition over the destiny of the Asia-Pacific region, the situation is really difficult, but don't expect the Philippines -- defined by an undying sense of resilience -- to just roll over anytime soon. It even managed to rename the South China Sea to West Philippine Sea, despite Beijing's repeated condemnations.

By any measure, the Philippines is increasingly emerging as a 'frontline state' in the ongoing Sino-American competition over the destiny of the Asia-Pacific region -- the world's new center of economic and geo-strategic gravity. Desperate to secure its territorial claims within the South China Sea, the Philippines is not only struggling with China's growing territorial assertiveness, but also exploring ways to maintain a measure of self-autonomy amidst America's plans to re-assert its Pacific hegemony.

For Manila, the history is somehow repeating itself, whereby the tiny archipelago is once again finding itself squeezed amid an intensifying great power rivalry. Back in the 19th and 20th centuries, the Philippines was at the forefront of America's competition with colonial Spain and the Soviet Union in East Asia. Obviously, this time Manila is eager to avoid being stamped upon by the march of history, unlike the past.

It's hard to understate Manila's strategic dilemma. On one hand, without America's military-diplomatic support, the Philippines stands heavily outmatched against its Chinese neighbor. While the Philippines' decrepit and under-equipped armed forces subsists on a meager annual expenditure of around $1.5 billion, ranking 59th in the world, the Chinese are the world's second largest spenders, with their $129 billion budget set to double by 2015 -- most of it will feed China's expanding naval 'anti-access' (A2/AD) and blue-water capabilities.

On the other hand, if Manila tilts too much into the U.S.' orbit, it might risk its national sovereignty as well as important bilateral ties with China. (Not to mention, there are lingering doubts as to the extent of the U.S.' commitment to Philippines' security, especially in an event of a direct Sino-Filipino confrontation over disputed features in the South China Sea.) Beijing is already irked by an increasingly revitalized U.S.-Philippine military relations, with elements within the Chinese military repeatedly calling for sanctions against Manila and its alleged role in stoking tensions in Sino-American relations.

At the height of Philippine-China territorial conflicts, when both sides dangerously squared off over the Scarborough Shoal earlier this year, Beijing imposed travel as well as non-tariff barriers against the Philippines' $200 million banana exports. So, Manila has no choice but to take China's threats seriously.

The Post-Cold War Rollercoaster

Like many of its post-colonial peers, the end of the Cold War provided an opportunity for Manila to become a master of its own destiny by veering away from the long and deep shadow of American military-political patronage.

In 1992, the Philippines managed to terminate the U.S. military's forward-deployment presence in Clark and Subic. But, just within three years, Manila watched in horror China's forceful seizure of the previously Philippine-controlled Mischief Reef. Failing to develop a minimum deterrence capability, Manila witnessed an increasingly assertive Chinese expansion in the South China Sea.

In absence of a coherent and effective regional regime to rein in China's alarming behavior, the Philippines' recourse was mere moral suasion and relatively marginal military cooperation with the U.S. and regional powers such as Australia, though primarily focused on the 'Global War on Terror.' At best, Manila was able to secure a non-binding, highly symbolic agreement with China to prevent open conflict over disputed territories. However, the 2002 ASEAN-China Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea was never a substitute for the Philippines' glaring lack of self-defense capabilities. When China stepped up its naval maneuvering in adjacent waters, the Philippines was left little choice but to welcome and encourage America's pivot to the region.

A Tough Balancing Act

The truth is, the tiny archipelago nation has found itself in a tricky situation vis-à-vis China: It faces a rapidly rising China that has simultaneously become an economic boon and a strategic threat. On the economic front, China's booming economy -- buttressed by large local companies eager to invest in emerging markets that are desperate for cheap capital and technology -- represents a huge opportunity for Manila to revitalize its historically anemic economy, strengthen a flailing infrastructure, and expand markets for increasingly high value-added exports. Mainland China is already the Philippines' third largest market, with bilateral trade hovering around $30 in recent years.

Last year, the two sides expressed their hopes of increasing bilateral trade and investment relations to around $60 billion in coming years, potentially making China the Philippines' biggest trading partner. According to some estimates, China's investments in the Philippines could reach as much as $8 billion, with Beijing heavily (or poised to be) involved in major infrastructural projects in the country.

We should bear in mind that in the first decade of the 21st century, Sino-Filipino relations experienced a period of growing economic and strategic ties, thanks to the former Filipino President Gloria Arroyo's efforts to diversify her country's heavily U.S.-centric external relations. However, recent years have introduced a new element of tensions into Sino-Filipino relations, as China stepped-up its efforts in adjacent water of East and South China Seas to cement its hyper-nationalist/populist territorial claims. After all, based on its notorious 9-dotted-line, China claims 'inherent and indisputable' sovereignty over almost all features within the South China Sea. It is particularly this position that has complicated, if not totally obstructed, any multilateral efforts to resolve ongoing territorial conflicts in the South China.

Moreover, China has also been using its economic influence over Southeast Asian countries such as Cambodia, the current chair of the ASEAN, to block any attempts by countries such as Vietnam and the Philippines to put greater pressure on China by (i) forging a unified regional stance and (ii) establishing a binding regional Code of Conduct (CoC) to regulate inter-state behavior over territorial disputes. As a result, the Philippines' diplomatic efforts within the ASEAN have been constantly sidestepped in recent months. But, Manila is still investing in diplomacy, because it knows that it can't risk confrontation and jeopardize booming bilateral trade-economic relations with China.

So, in the meantime, the Philippines is left with little choice but to hedge its bets: It intends on rapidly improving its minimum deterrence capabilities by welcoming greater aid, joint-exercises, and military hardware from as well as deeper operational interoperability with U.S. forces as well as other regional allies such as Japan, Australia, and South Korea.

The situation is really difficult, but don't expect the Philippines -- defined by an undying sense of resilience -- to just roll over anytime soon. It even managed to rename the South China Sea to West Philippine Sea, despite Beijing's repeated condemnations.

The Huffington Post

(http://is.gd/PJHtsw

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